Flávio Bolsonaro surprised analysts with 47% of valid votes in Brazil’s first round on October 5, setting up an October 25 runoff against incumbent Lula da Silva with no clear favourite.
Tag: Brazil
Posted inWorld
Brazil Heads to First-Round Vote with Lula and Bolsonaro Statistically Tied
Brazil votes on October 4 in a razor-thin presidential race, with incumbent Lula da Silva polling at 40% and right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro at 36%, pointing toward a late-October runoff.
Posted inWorld
Flávio Bolsonaro Overtakes Lula in Brazil Runoff Poll for First Time
A PoderData/Aya survey of 3,000 voters conducted September 6–9 shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula 47–45 in a second-round simulation — the first time the challenger has led in this series.
Posted inWorld
Brazil’s Presidential Race Tightens to Statistical Tie With Six Weeks to Vote
A Nexus poll from August 21–23 placed Lula at 46% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 45% in a simulated runoff, closing within the two-point margin of error as Brazil’s campaign season enters a critical stretch.
Posted inWorld
Lula Holds Slim Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro Six Weeks From Brazil’s Vote
Datafolha puts Lula 47–43 ahead of the younger Bolsonaro in a simulated second round, but a Quaest poll finds the gap within its margin of error.
Posted inEconomy
Brazil Cuts Selic to 14% for Fourth Consecutive Meeting
Brazil’s Copom cut the Selic to 14% on 5 August, a fourth straight quarter-point reduction completing 100 basis points of easing since March 2026.
Posted inWorld
Brazil Blocks US Election Envoys as Lula-Trump Tensions Escalate
Brazil’s Foreign Ministry denied visas to two Trump administration officials planning to scrutinise the country’s October 4 presidential election, citing interference concerns amid an escalating tariff dispute.