The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.197% on May 19, its highest since July 2007, with Citi now flagging 5.5% as the next key level for bond investors to watch.
Tag: inflation
Posted inEconomy
UK economy grew 0.6% in Q1 but OECD trims growth forecast on Iran war risk
UK real GDP expanded 0.6% in the first quarter of 2026, but the OECD has since cut its full-year growth forecast to 0.7% and raised its inflation call to 4.0%.
Posted inEconomy
US consumer prices hit 3.8% in April, highest since May 2023
April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year — driven by a 28% surge in gasoline costs tied to the Iran conflict — pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to the cusp of 4.5% and repricing Fed rate-cut expectations.
Posted inEconomy
Bank of Canada signals rate hike risk as oil-driven inflation deepens
Bank of Canada’s Macklem warned rate hikes are possible if oil prices stay elevated, a dilemma now spreading from Ottawa to Frankfurt and London.
Posted inEconomy
US economy adds 115,000 jobs in April, complicating Warsh’s rate agenda
The US economy added 115,000 jobs in April and unemployment held at 4.3 percent, giving prospective Fed Chair Kevin Warsh limited room to pursue the rate cuts he has signaled.
Posted inEconomy
US wholesale inflation hits 6% as energy costs and tariffs combine
US producer prices jumped 1.4% in April — nearly triple the forecast — lifting the annual PPI rate to 6%, its highest since late 2022, as energy and tariff pass-throughs both accelerated.
Posted inMarkets
Gold retreats from its $5,589 record but forecasters still see $5,000 ahead
After hitting an all-time high in January 2026, gold has pulled back roughly 16 percent to trade around $4,700, driven by rising US inflation expectations and growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will keep rates elevated well into 2027.
Posted inEconomy
IMF warns Iran war and tariffs are choking the global recovery
The Fund’s April 2026 World Economic Outlook identified a new combined threat to growth: persistent US tariff disputes layered on top of a Middle East energy shock that has upended the low-inflation environment central banks spent three years building.
Posted inEconomy
ECB freezes rates at 2 percent as Middle East energy costs reignite inflation
The European Central Bank’s Governing Council held all three key rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting, citing upside inflation risks from the Iran war’s energy price shock while flagging downside growth risks from the same source.