Eurostat’s flash estimate shows eurozone annual inflation edging up to 2.9% in July, driven by a 10% year-on-year jump in energy prices, complicating the ECB’s path back toward its 2% target.
Tag: inflation
Bank of England Holds at 3.75% as Hawkish Dissent Grows to Three MPC Members
The Bank of England kept its benchmark rate at 3.75% on July 30, but a surprise 6-3 vote split — with three MPC members pushing for a hike to 4% — signalled the committee is leaning hawkish.
Tokyo Inflation Quickens a Second Month, Keeping the BOJ on Track for Another Hike
Tokyo’s core consumer prices rose 2.4% year-on-year in August, a second consecutive monthly acceleration driven by utility subsidy phase-outs and surging rice prices, reinforcing expectations for a BOJ rate hike.
UK Inflation Falls to 2.6% in June as Diesel and Food Prices Cool
UK consumer price inflation eased to 2.6% in June 2026, its lowest reading since March 2025, driven by falling diesel pump prices and the softest food inflation since August 2024, though services costs held firm at 3.6%.
IMF Holds 2026 Global Growth at 3% While Lifting Inflation Forecast to 4.7%
The IMF’s July 2026 update keeps global growth unchanged at 3% but raises its inflation forecast 0.3 points to 4.7%, citing an energy shock stalling the disinflation trend.
Oil Above $100 Pushes Fed Rate-Hike Odds to 38% Before July 29 Meeting
CME FedWatch data shows a 38% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up sharply from 12% seven days ago, as crude oil crossing $100 adds to already-elevated US inflation.
ECB Holds Rates at 2.25% as Lagarde Warns Energy Shock Is Not Yet Fully Priced
The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, with President Lagarde warning that inflation will remain above target until mid-2027 as Middle East energy costs continue to feed through.
ECB Governing Council Meets Thursday in Its Most Finely Balanced Decision of the Year
With June eurozone inflation at 2.8% and growth at just 0.8% forecast for 2026, the ECB faces its sharpest hold-or-hike tension since raising rates for the first time in three years last month.
Brent Tops $87 as Iran Escalation Refuels Global Inflation Fears
Brent crude settled at $87.20 on July 17 as renewed US-Iran strikes removed the prospect of near-term Hormuz relief, complicating the inflation outlook for the Fed and ECB at a moment when rate decisions hang on energy costs.
US June Retail Sales Rose Just 0.2%, Weakest Gain in Five Months
US retail sales grew only 0.2% in June 2026, the smallest monthly rise in five months, as lower petrol prices dragged on receipts even as core consumer spending held up.