CME FedWatch data shows a 38% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up sharply from 12% seven days ago, as crude oil crossing $100 adds to already-elevated US inflation.
Tag: interest rates
Posted inEconomy
ECB Holds Rates at 2.25% as Lagarde Warns Energy Shock Is Not Yet Fully Priced
The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, with President Lagarde warning that inflation will remain above target until mid-2027 as Middle East energy costs continue to feed through.
Posted inEconomy
Bank of Korea Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years
South Korea’s central bank raised its benchmark rate to 2.75% on July 16, ending 13 months of policy inaction as record chip exports push inflation above target and the won tests the 1,500 per dollar level.
Posted inEconomy
Fed Governor Cook Signals Rate Hike Readiness as US Inflation Hits 3.7%
Fed Governor Lisa Cook warned on July 15 that she is prepared to raise rates if inflation does not ease, with US prices running 3.7% year-on-year — five years above the 2% target.
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BOJ board members back further rate hikes toward a neutral rate of 2%
Bank of Japan board members backed continued rate rises and estimated a neutral rate near 2%, in the June 24 summary of opinions released after the bank’s historic 1% decision.
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Fed holds rates and removes forward guidance in Warsh’s hawkish debut
At his first FOMC meeting on June 17, Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.5–3.75% and stripped forward guidance, with nine of 18 officials now projecting at least one rate hike in 2026.
Posted inEconomy
Bank of England holds at 3.75% as two MPC members push for a hike
The Bank of England’s MPC voted 7–2 to hold rates at 3.75% on 18 June, with two dissenters backing an immediate hike to 4% as UK inflation stays at 2.8%, nearly a full point above target.
Posted inEconomy
Bank of Japan lifts rates to 1%, highest since the mid-1990s
The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark rate to 1% in a 7-1 vote on Monday, the highest since September 1995, as Iran war energy costs push Japan’s inflation above target.
Posted inEconomy
ECB raises rates to 2.25% in first hike since 2023 as Iran war drives inflation
The European Central Bank raised its deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% on June 11, citing persistent energy-driven inflation from the Middle East conflict, with headline eurozone inflation forecast to average 3% in 2026.
Posted inEconomy
Five central banks in eight days as Iran-driven inflation tests policy limits
Five major central banks — ECB, Fed, BoJ, BoE, and Bank of Canada — convene in eight days this week, with the ECB’s expected hike to 2.25% leading the sequence.