Markets price an 83% chance the Fed raises its benchmark rate Wednesday for the first time since 2023, as energy-driven inflation keeps pressure on Chair Kevin Warsh.
Tag: Kevin Warsh
Posted inEconomy
Warsh Debuts at Jackson Hole Warning That Inflation Is Still Too High
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole address to warn that July PCE inflation at 3.3% does not confirm underlying trends have improved, and called for a quieter central bank that signals less.
Posted inEconomy
Warsh Heads to Jackson Hole With Markets Split on September Rate Hike
The Federal Reserve chair delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote on August 28, with traders pricing one-in-three odds of a rate increase nineteen days later at the September FOMC meeting.
Posted inEconomy
US Manufacturing PMI Reaches Four-Year High of 55.6% in July
The ISM’s July manufacturing index rose to 55.6%, a four-year high, as factory employment expanded for the first time in nearly three years.
Posted inEconomy
Warsh heads to Congress as June CPI data lands minutes before his testimony begins
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first semiannual monetary policy address to Congress on July 14–15, with June inflation data scheduled for release just 90 minutes before the House hearing opens.
Posted inEconomy
Warsh and Lagarde bury forward guidance at Sintra as inflation stays too high
The heads of the Fed, ECB, Bank of England and Bank of Canada agreed at Sintra to abandon explicit rate signalling, leaving markets to trade on data rather than guidance.
Posted inEconomy
Fed holds rates and removes forward guidance in Warsh’s hawkish debut
At his first FOMC meeting on June 17, Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.5–3.75% and stripped forward guidance, with nine of 18 officials now projecting at least one rate hike in 2026.
Posted inEconomy
Warsh holds rates but nine officials signal a 2026 hike, sending stocks lower
The Fed kept the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% on June 17 in Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as chair, but a hawkish dot plot rattled markets and pushed the S&P 500 down 1.2%.
Posted inEconomy
Markets price a Fed hike for the first time as Warsh chairs his June 17 FOMC debut
For the first time in two years markets are pricing a Fed rate hike as Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting on June 16–17, with US inflation at 4.2% and no cut bets remaining for all of 2026.
Posted inEconomy
US economy adds 115,000 jobs in April, complicating Warsh’s rate agenda
The US economy added 115,000 jobs in April and unemployment held at 4.3 percent, giving prospective Fed Chair Kevin Warsh limited room to pursue the rate cuts he has signaled.